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MARKETS: Let’s talk about Bitcoin

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Crypto is everywhere, the marmite of the investing world.

You need to have an opinion on Crypto these days if you want to avoid being an outcast. Nobody wants to be the one being shunned at the water cooler. Not having a two-sentence quip on Crypto puts you in the same bracket as those lunatics following soccer who say, "Na, I don't really support any team; I just like to watch". These are people you can't be seen to affiliate with.

After 2017, we saw the crypto winter, where the entire space fell nearly 90%. Again, in March 2020, we saw Bitcoin lose half its value over a two-day period and most recently, we have witnessed the crypto world crash once again as Bitcoin fell from highs of $65,000 to $30,000 a coin.

There are multiple reasons for the most recent sell-off. China banned the use of cryptocurrencies for financial institutions. Other countries might be considering tighter regulation, particularly as cryptos become the currency of choice for ransomware hackers. Tesla stopped accepting Bitcoin as payment for vehicles, and Binance, a popular crypto exchange, is currently under probe by the US justice department and the IRS. All valid reasons for concern. Now investors fear that there is no telling when the selling might stop, given that there is no true intrinsic value in the crypto space.

My opinion: there are too many investors willing to buy it at a price far above $0 for this 'going to zero' argument to make sense. Not every financial asset will hold tangible intrinsic value. Take gold for instance, a 10 Trillion-dollar market built on socially constructed value; the belief that this will be worth more in the future than it is today.

My bull case for Bitcoin is probably somewhat different to the Bitcoin Ultras of the world. The Bitcoin true believers will tell you that it's more than an asset. It is the only monetary asset that survives and thrives – the cockroach in the financial nuclear winter of money printing, societal collapse and Government intrusion.

Don't get me wrong, the narrative is very compelling in a 'rage against the machine' sort of way but I fail to see any possible scenario where we all move to a decentralized world of the people, where governments politely step aside and the entire financial system as we know it dissolves.

But just because I am not entirely sold on the most bullish Bitcoin scenarios doesn't mean that I see no utility. I believe Bitcoin is a truly amazing breakthrough for the financial architecture of the world that will see more and more adaption from the institutional players in the years ahead.

You now have large investment banks like Citi Bank coming out as bullish on Bitcoin, Invesco setting up crypto custodian arms and the likes of PayPal setting up wallets. The more this happens the more you will see the real institutional money being pushed into this space. The recent market environment has function as a catalyst for change. High equity valuations and limited upside in bonds are forcing investors to look deeper into the potential of alternative asset classes such as Bitcoin.

In short, there is undoubtedly some significant regulatory hurdles ahead, and the 'Bitcoin as a currency replacement' argument still seems far-fetched to me. With that said, I believe it is a financial asset that is here to stay; continued adaption from the institutional space could well see demand run higher, but don't be fooled. Bitcoin is a speculative asset that will see mind-boggling volatility for some time to come. If you are looking to invest in the crypto space, do your research, start small and Hold on for Dear Life (H.O.D.L.)

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Cost of agricultural land set to increase by 8% this year

By Ted Healy of DNG TED HEALY The results of a survey on agricultural land values conducted by the Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland (SCSI) was published earlier this week. […]

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By Ted Healy of DNG TED HEALY

The results of a survey on agricultural land values conducted by the Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland (SCSI) was published earlier this week.

It predicts an increase in land values by an average of 8% this year and an increase of 14% on average in rental values.

The report titled, ‘SCSI/Teagasc Agricultural Land Market Review & Outlook Report 2023’, analyses the agri sector performance over the past year and projects how it will perform over the next 12 months.

In all 134 agri professionals and valuers were surveyed, who expect the outlook for dairy farmers to ease and a challenging future for sheep and tillage farming.

Rental Land values in Munster increased by an average of 13% in the last year with a 9% increase experienced in Leinster.

The report indicates that the average non-residential farmland prices in 2022 ranged from €5,564 per acre for poor quality land – up five percent from €5,308 in 2021 – to €11,172 per acre for good quality land – up two percent from €10,962 the previous year. Strong demand from dairy farmers for good quality land is driving the market.

The majority of those surveyed believe there is likely to be an increase in demand from dairy farmers to purchase farmland in 2023.

One point to note however, is that changes to the European Nitrates Directive, particularly measures aimed at protecting water quality, may have an impact on land prices, especially rental prices.

In order to maintain current levels of milk production – and to comply with the directive – many dairy farms will need to either increase their land area or reduce milk production.

The Residential Zoned Land Tax (RZLT) is also coming down the line at an alarming rate, farmers have until May 1 to make a written appeal. Under the new legislation farmers owning currently zoned land face an annual tax bill of 3% of the market value of their zoned land.

This will result in countless numbers of landowners facing crippling tax bills from next year on. It is expected that this new tax may bring forward extra land sales later this year before the tax takes hold.

The IFA (Irish Farmers Association) have this week sought a senior counsel review of the legislation governing the Residential Zoned Land Tax.

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What is a Fire Safety Certificate?

By John Healy of Healy Insurances A Fire Safety Certificate is an official document that verifies if a building design submitted as part of an application will, if constructed in […]

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By John Healy of Healy Insurances

A Fire Safety Certificate is an official document that verifies if a building design submitted as part of an application will, if constructed in accordance with the plans and specifications approved by the Building Control Authority, comply with the requirements of the Building Regulations.

Fire Safety Certificates are issued by a Building Control Authority. The certificate confirms that the building has adequate escape facilities and that the building is designed in a way that prevents and limits the spread of fire. While all buildings must comply with the fire regulations, not all buildings will need a Fire Safety Certificate.

Which developments require a Fire Safety Certificate?

The Building Control Act (1990 & 2007) specifies the development types that require Fire Safety Certificates:

· Works in connection with the design and construction of a new building
· Works in connection with the material alteration of a day centre, a building containing a flat, a hotel, hostel or guest building, an institutional building, a place of assembly, a shopping centre
· Works in connection with the material alteration of a shop, office or industrial building where additional floor area is being provided within the existing building or where the building is being sub-divided into a number of units for separate occupancy
· Works in connection with the extension of a building by more than 25 square metres
· A building as regards which a material change of use takes place.

Some developments are exempted from requiring a Fire Certificate and can include:

· Certain single storey agricultural buildings
· A building used as a dwelling (other than a flat)
· A single storey domestic garage
· A single storey building ancillary to a dwelling which is used exclusively for recreational or storage purposes or the keeping of plants, birds or animals for domestic purposes and is not used for any trade or business or for human habitation
· Works in connection with a Garda station, a courthouse, a barracks and certain government buildings.

If a building is inspected by a member of the building control authority and it transpired that no Fire Safety Certificate is in place, the building could be subject to closure. For more information see www.kerrycoco.ie/home3/building-control/firesafetycerts.

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