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The hottest stocks are quietly getting killed off

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By Michael O’Connor

Markets are constantly changing and adapting, but a timeless law is that money will always chase performance, leaving us a step behind.

Over the last six months, four stocks - Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia and Google - have generated almost 70% of the S&P 500's return.

Meanwhile, many of the retail investing favourites continue their precipitous decline.

In what has now been dubbed the Tarantino Market, the hottest stocks from last year are quietly getting killed in the basement while everything continues as normal in the front room.

Docusign, Square, and Twilio have all lost between 20% and 35% YTD
Teledoc, Zoom, Beyond Meat and Zillow have lost roughly 50% YTD
StoneCo, Pelaton and Lemonade are down between 65% and 80% YTD

The S&P 500 Index is up almost 25% this year, relentlessly hitting all-time highs in December while growth names crumble in the background.

A reminder that stock picking is hard, and nothing lasts forever.

Statistically impossible

For tech growth stocks that had produced record growth numbers in recent times, the endless upward trajectory was unsustainable, and those who assumed a perpetual state of hyper-growth are now beginning to sober up. It's a lesson learned.

It's easy to get drawn in by the enticing narrative that these mammoth growth rates create, but these growth rates will never persist; it's a statistical impossibility. 100% revenue growth is an impressive but manageable task if your total revenue is 100k. Doubling your revenue from $500 million to $1 billion is a much more arduous endeavour.

Don't get too attached to the hyper-growth story. The rate of growth is guaranteed to slow down over time, and much of this future growth is already baked into the price.

Ensure you have other areas of conviction that you can assign to the company. Every company can have a hyper-growth story at some time or another. You need to have enough conviction to stay the course as the narrative changes and companies encounter inevitable growing pains.

You will never expose yourself to the exponential returns these companies offer in the long run if your only metric is price. Focus on finding companies you believe in with strong moats, inspirational founders, and innovative IP - companies that correspond with your vision of the future. Focusing on understanding what you're invested in and why you are invested in it makes it a lot easier to ignore the guaranteed price fluctuations over time.

With that said, markets, companies and people change, so make sure to objectively assess your positions at regular intervals to ensure your original investment thesis still applies.

Momentum is a powerful force in today's market and making investments simply because a stock has gone up in price and you are looking to get in on the action can be a rewarding strategy in the short run.

Still, without understanding what you own and why you own it, you are in for a painstaking investment experience laced with perpetual uncertainty.

Make a plan

The recent losses across the popular retail investor names has highlighted the need to stay focused on the core principles of long-term investing.

· Don't get caught up on short-term moves. Focus on your long-term time horizon
· Make sure you have adequate diversification
· Be patient: There will be periods where markets fall over 10%, that is a guarantee
· Stay committed to the companies you believe in; conviction is everything
· Be an opportunist: Use market corrections to build out positions in your favourite stocks.

As always, you can find more investing information at theislandinvestor.com.

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Junior Brother to make Mike the Pies debut this May

Kilcummin musician Junior Brother is set to play Mike the Pies for the first time when he takes to the stage at the popular Listowel venue on May 21. The […]

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Kilcummin musician Junior Brother is set to play Mike the Pies for the first time when he takes to the stage at the popular Listowel venue on May 21.

The local artist has built a strong reputation on the Irish folk and alternative scene and released his third album, The End, last September. The record followed a steady rise in profile since the release of his debut album Pull The Right Rope, which was nominated for the Choice Music Prize for Irish Album of the Year.
Junior Brother also picked up two nominations at the 2019 RTÉ Radio 1 Folk Awards, where he was shortlisted for Best Folk Album and Best Emerging Folk Act. His distinctive songwriting and live performances have since seen him share stages with a range of well-known acts, including The Proclaimers and Glen Hansard.
Hansard later invited the Kilcummin man to join him on a tour of the east coast of the United States.
Tickets for the show are priced at €20 and are available through the Mike the Pies website.

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Carrig Cup gathering honours Mike Gaine

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A Christmas gathering in memory of Mike Gaine brought friends and rally competitors together at Kenmare Golf Club on January 3, where the first winners of the Carrig Cup were also recognised.

The new trophy was claimed by driver Tommy Randles and co-driver Darragh Lynch, making them the opening names on the cup.


The award will be competed for every six months on both the Killarney Historic Rally and the Rally of the Lakes.


Randles thanked the Gaine family for presenting the trophy and the club members who supported the night.


He said: “I would like to take this opportunity to thank all the people and KDMC club members that came to the Kenmare Golf club last night to the Christmas gathering of friends in memory of Mike Gaine and in recognition of the Carrig cup and myself and Darragh Lynch as the first winners it was a great night with rally stories of the past been told until early in the morning I would like to thank Mike Casey and his team of Kenmare golf course for the bar service and food on the night which was thoroughly enjoyed by everyone and I would like to wish you all a very happy new year and hope 2026 will be a great year for everyone.”


Co-driver Lynch added:
“The fact that the cup will be won every six months for both the Historic Rally and the Rally of the Lakes means it will have an amazing history to it in a few short years so for myself and Tommy to be the first names on it is special. I’d like to thank the Gaine family for putting forward the cup and the rally community of Kenmare for supporting it so strongly. The cup will keep Mike’s memory safe and strong forever more now and it was great to see such a crowd on the night.”

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