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Failure is inevitable

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By Michael O’Connor

Successful investing is about learning from your mistakes... or mine!

Last week I shared a story about one of my friends who had lost a sizeable amount following an ill-informed yet entirely commonplace investing blunder. This week, to even up the playing field, I thought it would be only fair to go through some of my own hideous investments.

One of my first meaningful investments was into a cryptocurrency called Ripple (XRP) in late 2017. Armed with little-to-no understanding of the crypto space and about an hour of research, I decided that a $2,000 position was the only logical next step. My investment thesis at the time went something like this.

"It was trading at 20c a coin three weeks ago, and now it's at $2.20. If it continues like this, I'll be a millionaire by Easter."

It started off well, jumping from $2.20 to $3.30 a coin. A 30% jump in just a matter of days. My genius clearly knew no bounds.

The subsequent three months were somewhat less successful; it was a cataclysmic disaster, to put it mildly. The price did a vertical nosedive from $3.40 to $0.5c in a matter of weeks. My guaranteed millions had turned into a significant loss during a time when I definitely couldn't afford a 'significant loss'.. I was paying rent in Dublin at the time… enough said.

Another of my most memorable investing blunders is one I have discussed previously. This ended much more successfully but honestly haunts me far more than any loss ever will.

I purchased the much-beloved Canadian E-Commerce company 'Shopify' in late 2018 and sold after doubling my money just a few months later. I then watched on from the sidelines with tears in my eyes as Shopify went on one of the most relentless runs I have ever seen from a Large Cap company, a 20X jump from the day I purchased.

It may seem strange that I spend so much time regaling investing horror stories, given that my overall goal is to encourage and help people to start investing. Still, there is a couple of important universal take-aways from these personal anecdotes.

Nobody gets it right all the time

You simply need to be right more often than you are wrong. Casinos are heralded as money-making machines but only win 54% of the time. Not every investing position will be a winner. You will be wrong plenty of times during the course of your investing journey, and that's perfectly fine.

It's always important to highlight failures. We are all human. Modern technology has ensured that we are berated by personal highlight reels on a daily basis. Skills are advertised, flaws are hidden. We have a societal tendency to describe successful investors as having guru-like powers. This 'pedestal culture' means everyone else looks at them and says, "I could never do that", which is unfortunate because more people would be willing to try if they knew that those they admire are probably ordinary people who played the odds right. I know this held me back for longer than I care to admit.

"When you are keenly aware of your own struggles but blind to others", it's easy to assume you're missing some skill or secret that others have" – Morgan Housel.

Don't let fear of failure stop you from getting started. Learn by doing. I have learned a lot from all my investing mistakes, and they have ultimately made me more successful over time. While I am acutely aware that this sounds like something you would pull out of a fortune cookie at an all-you-can-eat Chinese buffet, it still stands true.

Start small but start now.

To learn how to start your own investing journey, visit www.theislandinvestor.com.

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Cost of agricultural land set to increase by 8% this year

By Ted Healy of DNG TED HEALY The results of a survey on agricultural land values conducted by the Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland (SCSI) was published earlier this week. […]

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By Ted Healy of DNG TED HEALY

The results of a survey on agricultural land values conducted by the Society of Chartered Surveyors Ireland (SCSI) was published earlier this week.

It predicts an increase in land values by an average of 8% this year and an increase of 14% on average in rental values.

The report titled, ‘SCSI/Teagasc Agricultural Land Market Review & Outlook Report 2023’, analyses the agri sector performance over the past year and projects how it will perform over the next 12 months.

In all 134 agri professionals and valuers were surveyed, who expect the outlook for dairy farmers to ease and a challenging future for sheep and tillage farming.

Rental Land values in Munster increased by an average of 13% in the last year with a 9% increase experienced in Leinster.

The report indicates that the average non-residential farmland prices in 2022 ranged from €5,564 per acre for poor quality land – up five percent from €5,308 in 2021 – to €11,172 per acre for good quality land – up two percent from €10,962 the previous year. Strong demand from dairy farmers for good quality land is driving the market.

The majority of those surveyed believe there is likely to be an increase in demand from dairy farmers to purchase farmland in 2023.

One point to note however, is that changes to the European Nitrates Directive, particularly measures aimed at protecting water quality, may have an impact on land prices, especially rental prices.

In order to maintain current levels of milk production – and to comply with the directive – many dairy farms will need to either increase their land area or reduce milk production.

The Residential Zoned Land Tax (RZLT) is also coming down the line at an alarming rate, farmers have until May 1 to make a written appeal. Under the new legislation farmers owning currently zoned land face an annual tax bill of 3% of the market value of their zoned land.

This will result in countless numbers of landowners facing crippling tax bills from next year on. It is expected that this new tax may bring forward extra land sales later this year before the tax takes hold.

The IFA (Irish Farmers Association) have this week sought a senior counsel review of the legislation governing the Residential Zoned Land Tax.

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What is a Fire Safety Certificate?

By John Healy of Healy Insurances A Fire Safety Certificate is an official document that verifies if a building design submitted as part of an application will, if constructed in […]

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By John Healy of Healy Insurances

A Fire Safety Certificate is an official document that verifies if a building design submitted as part of an application will, if constructed in accordance with the plans and specifications approved by the Building Control Authority, comply with the requirements of the Building Regulations.

Fire Safety Certificates are issued by a Building Control Authority. The certificate confirms that the building has adequate escape facilities and that the building is designed in a way that prevents and limits the spread of fire. While all buildings must comply with the fire regulations, not all buildings will need a Fire Safety Certificate.

Which developments require a Fire Safety Certificate?

The Building Control Act (1990 & 2007) specifies the development types that require Fire Safety Certificates:

· Works in connection with the design and construction of a new building
· Works in connection with the material alteration of a day centre, a building containing a flat, a hotel, hostel or guest building, an institutional building, a place of assembly, a shopping centre
· Works in connection with the material alteration of a shop, office or industrial building where additional floor area is being provided within the existing building or where the building is being sub-divided into a number of units for separate occupancy
· Works in connection with the extension of a building by more than 25 square metres
· A building as regards which a material change of use takes place.

Some developments are exempted from requiring a Fire Certificate and can include:

· Certain single storey agricultural buildings
· A building used as a dwelling (other than a flat)
· A single storey domestic garage
· A single storey building ancillary to a dwelling which is used exclusively for recreational or storage purposes or the keeping of plants, birds or animals for domestic purposes and is not used for any trade or business or for human habitation
· Works in connection with a Garda station, a courthouse, a barracks and certain government buildings.

If a building is inspected by a member of the building control authority and it transpired that no Fire Safety Certificate is in place, the building could be subject to closure. For more information see www.kerrycoco.ie/home3/building-control/firesafetycerts.

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