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Is the correction over?

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It's been a tough month for investors. After a blissful 18 months, the 'markets can only go up' narrative seems to be wearing thin.

Despite a late surge on the last day of the month, the S&P 500 wrapped up its worst month since March 2020, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq narrowly avoiding its worst-ever start to the year.

The Nasdaq is now very much in correction territory, down 12% in 2022, with the S&P 500 down 7.0%.

If you dig a little deeper, the true extent of the volatility becomes more apparent. One in three companies in the Russell 3000 Index (Index of the entire US public stock market) has fallen more than 40% from their 52-week highs. An ode to index investing and a stark reminder that stock picking is hard.

Death to Social Media

Shares in Facebook plummeted as much as 22% following a less than convincing earnings report that saw Meta record their first-ever fall in global daily active users (DAUs).

The daily loss of $230 billion was the largest one-day loss in the history of Wall Street and sent ripples through markets. It wasn't just Facebook suffering; social media contagion saw other players decimated, with Snap, Twitter and Pinterest recording significant losses.

Snap plunged by over 20% following Facebook's earnings call, but reported their first-ever profitable quarter later that evening to send its stock soaring by as much as 62% at one point! This crazy two-day price fluctuation should function as a cautionary tale for investors.

These short-term price movements are rarely logical, typically over-reactive to the extreme and impossible to decipher in real-time.

Don't Look

For most, last week's volatility should function as a reminder that you are not doing yourself any favours by watching the play-by-play if you're not a full-time trader.

Ultimately if you have a longer-term time horizon, you're adding undue stress and anxiety by over-analysing each tick higher or lower.

So here is your timely reminder to stop checking prices. Log out of your brokerage App. Remind yourself why you invested in the first place instead of fixating on the daily price movements.

Nothing New Here

Remember, stock market losses are a regular occurrence. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has had an average drawdown of 13.6% over a calendar year. And yet, markets have continued to grind higher over time.

The volatility you get from stocks is the prices you pay for the high returns they offer. It's not free.

Outlook

Predicted increases to the FED Funds rate have led to much of the recent sell-off. In my opinion, these rate hikes are priced into markets, and much of the correction has been completed.

With that said, volatility is here to stay with geopolitical tensions in Russia, inflation uncertainty and the tapering of economic stimulus at the forefront of investor sentiment.

It is unlikely to be as easy as it has been with valuations stretched in places, but it is hard to get overly negative with fundamental trends so solid.

Earnings remain strong, valuation metrics are contracting, GDP is at an all-time high and continues to grow, company margins are improving, and consumer demand is now above pre-pandemic levels.

The game isn't over. It all just gets a little harder from here.

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10-minute plays will linger in the memory

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The West End House School of Arts is delighted to take part in this year’s St Patrick’s Day Festival with a special evening of entertaining readings on Friday, March 13 at 7.30pm.

It promises to be a vibrant showcase of five original 10-minute plays written by emerging local playwrights, each of whom has recently completed a playwriting course with Fiona Doyle (pictured).


Diverse in style and subject matter, these beautifully crafted pieces promise an evening of laughter, tears, and powerful storytelling and each reading will be performed by West End House actors from Kerry.


Together, they highlight the remarkable talent of these up-and-coming writers and actors, who are the future of theatre in our community.

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Get your scrap together

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Following the success of the first ever Killarney Lions Club scrap metal collection in 2025, the Club will again run the event this year in partnership with KWD Recycling on March 28, at Killarney Racecourse.

Similar to 2025, money raised through recycling the metal will go towards improving facilities for families attending the children’s cancer unit in Cork University Hospital, as part of an overall fundraising drive being coordinated by Lions Clubs all over Munster.

The Club is asking people to bring non-ferrous scrap metals such as aluminium, copper, brass, zinc and stainless steel (no white goods such as fridges/cookers washing machines). Volunteers will be on hand from 9am until 4pm to take donations of scrap and work with KWD Recycling to remove it for processing.

“Although Lions Clubs in Munster have already raised some funds for CUH, more is still needed, so we’re delighted that KWD Recycling is working with us again to support this very worthwhile cause”, said Jason Higgins, President of Killarney Lions Club. “We’re asking anyone who has scrap metal at home, at work or on the farm now or in the next few weeks to please bring it to the Racecourse on the day because everything we collect will make a difference.”

Tadhg Healy, Sales Manager at KWD Recycling added that “We will recycle any high quality scrap metal that we collect – it can be quite valuable and of course it’s better for the environment if it’s recycled instead of being dumped. On top of that, the main thing with this collection is to help families of children with cancer, so hopefully we’ll get a good response from everyone and raise as much money as possible through this event”.

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