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What goes up, must come down ….. or does it?

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By Ted Healy of DNG TED HEALY

In recent months the rate of property price increases has softened and with that questions have begun to arise around whether a drop in prices could be on the cards.

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CSO released the latest Residential Property Price Index (RPPI) on Thursday which shows national prices in the year to the end of August rose by 12.2% - the fifth successive month in which the annual rate of house price growth nationally slowed. Since August of last year, the rate of increase had been climbing in double digits, and it peaked in the early part of the year, prior to the change in the economic climate internationally.

There are a huge number of factors that influence house prices. Like any market though, at its heart it boils down fundamentally to supply and demand.

On the supply front, signs are that the availability might be starting to loosen up a little. Demand is deflating too as rising interest rates and inflation push home ownership out of the reach of some.

The European Central Bank have increased rates by 1.25% and the expectation is there will be two further increases before the year end. Central Bank mortgage lending rules also continue to help keep a lid on house price inflation.

But there are ongoing pressures keeping house prices high, and we continue to have a severe shortage of housing.

And then there is inflation. Construction price inflation was running at 14% on an annual basis in July, according to the Society of Chartered Surveyors. The soaring cost of raw materials, labour and other factors continue to make building more expensive. If this continues, the bump in new home supply we saw earlier could tail off – putting pressure on prices.

A third factor at play is that most of the main lenders here have not yet passed those increases on to borrowers - giving home purchasers some breathing space.

Central Bank data released during the week showed average interest rates here remained steady in August, while at the same time across the Euro zone they rose more markedly. There is an expectation though that the banks won’t be able to hold out on passing through the extra borrowing costs forever.

How likely is it then that house prices could fall?

House prices here have recovered significantly since the depths of the post-Celtic Tiger crash. Nationally they now stand at 2.2% above their highest level recorded in April 2007.

From January 2008 they fell for five straight years until June 2013. Since then, there has only been one four-month period beginning in July 2020, at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, that they have fallen slightly, before recovering strongly over the subsequent 24 months.

That recovery was in large part fuelled by significant household savings accumulated during pandemic lockdowns, along with disrupted supply and pent-up demand.

With demand remaining strong and as supply has not yet caught up, leading experts say it is unlikely prices will fall dramatically anytime soon.

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Paralympic legend Jason Smyth visits St Brendan’s

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Paralympic legend Jason Smyth visits St Brendan’s


World renowned Paralympian and world record holder Jason Smyth paid a visit to St Brendan’s College on Wednesday afternoon as part of a high profile visit to Killarney.


The six time Paralympic gold medallist spoke to second year students from St Brendan’s College, alongside students from neighbouring schools St Brigid’s Presentation Secondary School and Killarney Community College.
The interactive talk and interview took place ahead of World Sight Day, with the legendary sprinter sharing his personal journey with Stargardt disease, a genetic eye condition that left him legally blind at eight years old.
The Derry native, who holds the world record as the fastest Paralympian on earth over 100 metres, offered inspiring insights into overcoming physical adversity and achieving success at the highest level of world sport.
The school visit formed the opening leg of his Killarney schedule before he took centre stage later on Wednesday evening at The Killarney Plaza Hotel & Spa.
Smyth headlined An Evening with Paralympian Jason Smyth, an event organised by the Killarney Chamber of Tourism and Commerce as part of its winter schedule, sponsored by AIB.

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Deerpark Retail Park placed on market for fifteen million euro

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Deerpark Retail Park in Killarney has officially been placed on the market with a guide price in excess of 15.4 million euro, excluding VAT.

International real estate firm Cushman & Wakefield has been appointed as the sole sales agent to handle the high-profile commercial property sale on behalf of its current owner, Investcorp.

Investcorp, a global investment management firm headquartered in Bahrain, had previously acquired the prominent shopping complex.


The sale represents one of the largest commercial property offerings to launch in County Kerry this year.

Located roughly 1.3 kilometres west of Killarney town centre, the scheme enjoys strong regional connectivity and sits adjacent to independently owned operations including a Tesco Extra store, a Tesco petrol filling station, JYSK, and Aldi.


Constructed in 2006, the development extends across approximately 10,482 square metres, or 112,835 square feet.

The scheme comprises a mix of modern retail warehouse units and a complementary neighbourhood centre, offering 13 individual units in total with Part Open and Part Bulky Use planning permission.

The units range in size from 94.6 square metres up to 1,994.9 square metres. Visitors have access to approximately 248 customer parking spaces across the commercial grounds.

The park is currently 100 per cent occupied by a strong line-up of established national and international brands.

Key retail tenants include Marks & Spencer, Boots, DID Electrical, Maxi Zoo, and Mountain Warehouse.

The neighbourhood centre element accommodates service and convenience operators such as Costa Coffee, Card Factory, and Salon B.

The first-floor accommodation is fully let to Peak Performance Academy, which provides additional rental diversification.

Additionally, the scheme benefits from an agreement with Tesla to operate eight electric vehicle charging bays within the customer car park.


Commercial figures show that the property generates a total current rental income of 1,326,458 euro per annum, with a weighted average unexpired lease term of 4.45 years to break options and 6.46 years to lease expiry.

Cushman & Wakefield noted that the quoted guide price of 15.4 million euro reflects a net initial yield of 7.83 per cent, assuming standard purchaser costs of 9.96 per cent.

The selling agents highlighted that the fully occupied asset offers investors an attractive income profile alongside scope for additional income generation through parking commercialisation.

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