News
Being robbed by the bank
By Michael O’Connor from theislandinvestor.com
This week, inflation in Europe hit 10.7%. Just 12 months ago, this figure was 4.1%.
Painfully high energy and food prices continued to push inflation to record levels. Over the past 12 months, energy prices rose by 41.9%, while food prices increased by 13.1%. With Russia's withdrawal from an agreement that allowed grain exports from Ukraine, grain prices are likely to go up even more.
Of course, we don't need to be told the exact figures. We can see it all around us; the food we buy, the bills we pay.
The precarious balancing act that the ECB now faces is too layered a discussion point for this short article, but it is a fight they are currently losing.
Statements from the IMF this week reiterate this point.
"European policymakers face severe trade-offs and tough policy choices as they address a toxic mix of weak growth and high inflation that could worsen."
As the outlook worsens, the knee-jerk reaction may be to do nothing. But this is not the answer.
One point I have been trying to press home with clients lately is - the price of inaction in the current inflationary environment is immense.
In economics, the Fisher Effect is the tendency for interest rates to change to follow the inflation rate. As inflation rates rise, so too should interest rates, or at least this was the case before the mass amounts of credit in the system made this an unviable option.
Historically, the Fisher Effect held true. In the late '70s, inflation ripped through economies and in turn, interest rates rose to nearly 20%. Those battling inflation had the ability to offset these rising prices by simply leaving their money accumulate the higher interest rates available in their savings accounts at the bank. Doing nothing was an option.
Since then, things have changed. Bank interest rates in the US reached an all-time high of 20% in March of 1980 before a precipitous decline brought interest rates to a record low of 0.25% in December of 2008. Europe took it a step further and introduced negative interest rates.
Despite the changing narrative, the old belief that 'your money is safe in the bank' still rings true for many. Unfortunately, the residual advice of a previous generation who benefited from a different economic framework muddies the clarity for many trying to save in this new environment.
What worked for your parents won't work for you. A lot has changed. Simply putting away a little money every week into a savings account isn't enough anymore if you want to be able to function as an independent adult. It's a harsh reality, but it's true.
What you are saving for is rising in price faster than you are saving, so you need to do something to tie yourself to these higher prices.
Take the first step
They say the price of inaction is far greater than the cost of making a mistake. This is especially true for so many investors in the current market.
On average, the stock market has returned roughly 10% annually since 1974. A far more enticing return than the pennies on offer in your savings account.
You don't need to make a huge decision regarding your life savings all at once. Focus on finding an investment better than your current deposit account and work from there.
Start small but start now. After that first step, it all gets a little easier.
Doing nothing is no longer an option.
If you have any questions, scan the QR code above and reach out. Always happy to help.
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Fans urged to leave points on field
Kerry fans travelling to Croke Park for the All-Ireland Senior Football Final on Sunday, July 26th, are being urged to keep road safety as their top priority and leave the penalties and points to the players on the pitch.
With thousands of supporters set to travel hundreds of kilometres by car, bus, train, and plane for the showdown between Kerry and Mayo, Kerry and Mayo County Councils have joined forces to roll out a joint road safety campaign.
The initiative features a GAA-inspired advert for local radio and social media. The campaign highlights that while speed and impact play a key role for a footballer on the pitch, the consequences of speed behind the wheel carry a very different and dangerous outcome. Both local authorities emphasize that road safety is a team effort, ensuring everyone arrives safely to enjoy the match and returns home without incident.
Kerry County Council’s Road Safety Officer, Declan Keogh, warned of the need for vigilance during the long journey to Dublin.
“There will be a lot of excitement and distractions on the journeys to Croke Park. We are asking motorists to stay focused, keep their eye on the road and ensure everyone in the vehicle is wearing a seatbelt. Long journeys can be tiring for drivers, so short breaks should be factored into the journey plan. Whether celebrating or commiserating after the game, drivers should never drive under the influence of alcohol or drugs. Staying safe on the road is the main goal.”
Supporters on both sides are being reminded that regardless of the result on the pitch, making safe decisions on the road ensures a winning outcome for everyone involved.
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