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Are Kerry really a one-man team? Let’s take a look at the numbers

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Joe Brolly and others have described Kerry as a one-man team. Brolly recently said the All-Ireland champions are "mediocre" and "nothing" without David Clifford.

Let's analyse the numbers to see just how reliant Kerry are on the reigning Footballer of the Year...

Since making his debut in 2018, Clifford has scored 24 goals and 234 points in his 57 league and championship appearances.

He has registered 20-139 from play, plus four penalties, 85 frees, and 10 marks. He is averaging 5.4 points per game.

So far in 2023 Clifford has scored 47 of Kerry's 195 points (24.1%). This is slightly down on his percentage from last year (25.2%), although he has missed two games so far compared to one in 2022.

Here are the figures for the previous four years:

2021 Clifford got 63 out of Kerry's 217 points (29%)

2020 42 out of 186 (28.8%)

2019 36 out of 285 (12.6%)

2018 51 out of 240 (21.3%)

Remarkably, Clifford has scored every single time he has taken to the field.

In recent weeks he has been sensational. He had 2-6 against Clare, 0-8 against Mayo and 1-5 against Cork. Against Mayo in particular, many of his teammates underperformed. This, to a large extent, is what has prompted the debate - although Brolly has called Kerry a one-man team in the past.

His numbers are certainly impressive and he is unquestionably Kerry's most important player. But how do his stats stack up against those of his rivals, and his own teammates?

We would need to compare Clifford's data against all the other top forwards to get a full picture but just by way of example, Dean Rock kicked (or fisted) 30.6% of Dublin's points in 2022. Clifford's highest ever percentage for a season is 29%.

Shane McGuigan has scored 37.1% of Derry's points in the 2023 championship. Clifford has notched 34% of Kerry's total. Does this make Derry a one-man team?

Clifford has scored 50% or more of Kerry's points in just one of his 57 games. (He got 1-5 out of 1-10 against Galway in 2018.)

In the 2023 All-Ireland group stage alone, this feat has already been achieved by the aforementioned McGuigan, Darren McCurry (Tyrone), Cormac Costello (Dublin) and Oisín Gallen (Donegal).

Clifford has been Kerry's top scorer in 23 of his 57 games, and joint top scorer in seven. Naturally enough, someone else has been top scorer the other 27 times.

Looking at campaigns as a whole, Clifford has been Kerry's top marksman in the championship just once, in 2018. (He was also joint top scorer in 2020 as he and Killian Spillane both scored 0-4 in Kerry's only match.)

Meanwhile, Seán O'Shea has been Kerry's leading scorer in the championship three times (2019, 2021 and 2022).

Clifford and O'Shea made their debut together in 2018. Their scoring rate is almost identical. O'Shea has scored 338 points in 64 appearances (5.3 points per game) versus Clifford's 306 points in 57 appearances (5.4 points per game).

O'Shea has scored 25% of Kerry's points since January 2018. Clifford has scored 22.7%. Clifford is more prolific from play, granted, but if nothing else the percentages clearly show that more than one man is getting the points on the board.

All told, over three-quarters of Kerry's points during Clifford's career to date have been scored by his teammates.

Of course, putting the ball over the bar isn't everything. Clifford also contributes via assists and by drawing defenders' attention away from his fellow forwards. Unfortunately the assist data is not readily available and the amount of attention he attracts is not easily quantifiable.

Clifford also seems to strike for goals and points at important times. Again, this data is not readily available.

Kerry's record in games in which David Clifford did not play is surprisingly good. He has missed 10 fixtures. Kerry have won eight of them and lost two.

The Fossa forward is a phenomenal player but several of his teammates are also legitimate stars in their own right. The likes of Jason Foley, Tom O'Sullivan, Seán O'Shea and Paudie Clifford are elite footballers who would start for most, if not all, other teams in the country.

Kerry's captain is a generational talent, and he is standing out even more at the moment because a number of his teammates haven't really been playing to their potential. Kerry have been depending on him more in recent weeks. That much is true.

But you have to question if a one-man team is even possible at this level. For example, as good as Clifford was against Cork, Kerry still needed O'Shea to kick his five points. Jason Foley had an excellent game in defence, keeping the dangerous Brian Hurley scoreless from play.

It's never really just one guy, even if the highlight reel might suggest otherwise.

Would Kerry win the All-Ireland without Clifford? Probably not. Every team needs their best player, even more so if the player in question is a potential GOAT candidate.

However, when we look at the numbers, and also when we consider the calibre of some of the players around him, it seems unreasonable to say that Kerry would be "nothing" without him.

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Home cup tie for St Paul’s could be epic

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Paudie O’Connor National Cup (Round 1)

Utility Trust St Paul’s v GCU Brunell

Saturday 7.30pm

Killarney Sports and Leisure Centre

The St Paul’s women’s team will be hoping to get their National Cup adventure off the ground on Saturday when they welcome 2024 champions Brunell to Killarney. Tip-off in the Killarney Sports and Leisure Centre is at 7.30pm.

Paul’s have displayed some fine early season form, although their unbeaten start in the Super League came to an abrupt end last weekend when they lost to the Trinity Meteors in Dublin. James Fleming’s side weren’t at their best on the day but they were well in contention heading into the final quarter with the scores at 47-45 in favour of the hosts. The Meteors pushed on in the fourth, however, eventually running out 63-53 winners.

St Paul’s scorers on the night were Maisie Burnham (13), Tara Cousins (12), Lorraine Scanlon (12), Lovisa Hevinder (9), Denise Dunlea (5) and Leah McMahon (2).

The Killarney club are now joint second in the table alongside the Meteors with both teams holding a 4-1 record. Killester are top having won each of their first five games.

Paul’s opponents on Saturday, Brunell, have won three out of five league matches so far.

LAKERS

The Utility Trust St Paul’s Lakers have now won three of their last four games in Division 1 of the Men’s National League following an impressive home victory over Moycullen in Killarney.

Eoin Carroll and Jack O’Sullivan made significant contributions of the Boys in Black; Carroll hit 17 points and collected 13 rebounds while O’Sullivan had 14 points, 12 rebounds and some spectacular blocks.

Steve Kelly posted 30 points and the durable Sam Grant played every second, adding 21 points along the way.

The Lakers started well before the visitors found their footing and the sides went in level at the half-time break after scores by home captain Carroll. There was still nothing to separate the teams entering the fourth quarter (68-65) but buckets by Carroll, Pablo Murcia and Grant opened up a nine-point lead. Moycullen fought back admirably, however, cutting the deficit to just four, but Luke O’Hea’s charges held firm to prevail by eight (88-80).

Next up is a cup tie against the Tipperary Talons, a side they defeated by 30 points just a couple of weeks ago. The cup can be very different to the league, though, and they will need another solid performance to advance to the next round. Tip-off in in Killenaule is at 6.30pm on Saturday.

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Chances of Kerry v Cork Munster final in 2026 decrease as Munster GAA delay seeding plan

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After facing a backlash from Limerick, Clare, Waterford and Tipperary players, Munster GAA have postponed their plan to keep Cork and Kerry separate in the 2026 Munster Football Championship.

The new seeding system – which gives the two highest ranked Munster teams in the National League byes to separate semi-finals – will now come into play in 2027, twelve months later than initially planned.

This will give Clare and Limerick a chance to earn promotion to Division 2 of the league, potentially overtaking Cork if the Rebels were to get relegated to Division 3.

Despite traditionally being the two main contenders for Munster football honours, Kerry and Cork haven’t met in a provincial decider since 2021. The Kingdom have won each of the finals since then (one versus Limerick and three versus Clare) by an average margin of 15.75 points.

More high-profile Kerry v Cork finals might be desirable for fans of those teams, businesses in Killarney and Cork, and neutrals alike but Munster GAA’s plans to effectively keep the great rivals on opposite sides of the draw understandably drew criticism from the other participating counties. A statement by the GPA confirmed that players from Limerick, Clare, Waterford and Tipp had met via Zoom to discuss the matter. They were said to be “deeply disappointed and concerned” by the decision.

The 12-month delay will at least give two of those disaffected teams an opportunity to benefit from the new seeding process.

The draw for the 2026 Munster Football Championship will take place on November 27 under the old rules. As 2025 finalists, Kerry and Clare will get byes to the last four (but they will not necessarily be kept apart).

Nine members of Kerry’s squad are up for All-Stars at tonight’s awards ceremony in Dublin with Joe O’Connor and David Clifford also in contention for the prestigious Footballer of the Year award.

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